Watch UFC 312: Makhachev vs. Oliveira 3 Free.

What's at Stake

The UFC Lightweight Championship and a place in the history books are on the line as Islam Makhachev and Charles Oliveira meet for the third time to settle one of the most technical rivalries in MMA history. This trilogy bout represents the pinnacle of elite grappling, with the winner likely cementing their legacy as the greatest lightweight of the modern era while the loser falls out of the immediate title picture.

Head-to-Head

The series currently stands with Makhachev holding the advantage, having secured a dominant submission victory in their first encounter to claim the vacant title. While their subsequent meetings have showcased high-level adjustments from both camps, Oliveira has maintained his status as the division's most prolific finisher to force this final showdown. Both fighters enter this contest on significant winning streaks, having cleared out the top of the 155-pound rankings to prove they remain the two best lightweights in the world.

Key Players to Watch

• Islam Makhachev — The reigning champion looks to utilize his superior sambo wrestling and improved striking to neutralize the challenger's offensive guard.
• Charles Oliveira — The UFC's all-time submission leader aims to reclaim his throne by finding a finishing sequence in the chaotic transitions where he thrives.
• Khabib Nurmagomedov — As the primary strategist in Makhachev's corner, his tactical adjustments between rounds could be the deciding factor in a close contest.

Prediction

Expect a high-paced tactical battle where the wrestling pressure of the champion eventually wears down the challenger over the championship rounds. While Oliveira will provide dangerous moments on the feet and with submission attempts, Makhachev's disciplined top control should lead him to a unanimous decision victory or a late-round stoppage. His ability to dictate where the fight takes place remains the marginal difference in this elite stylistic matchup.