Watch UFC 314: Makhachev vs. Oliveira 3 — Main Card Free.

What's at Stake

The UFC Lightweight Championship hangs in the balance as Islam Makhachev and Charles Oliveira meet for a third time to settle one of the most technical rivalries in MMA history. This trilogy bout represents a legacy-defining moment for both men, with Makhachev looking to cement his status as the pound-for-pound king and Oliveira seeking to reclaim his throne and prove his finishing ability can overcome the champion's dominant wrestling.

Head-to-Head

The series currently stands with Makhachev holding the advantage, having secured a dominant submission victory in their first encounter, followed by a more competitive exchange in their second meeting. Both fighters have maintained incredible momentum against the division's top five, with Oliveira continuing to break records for most finishes in UFC history while Makhachev has extended one of the longest active winning streaks in the promotion. Their styles create a high-level chess match between Sambo-based pressure and aggressive Brazilian Jiu-Jitsu.

Key Players to Watch

• Islam Makhachev — The reigning champion whose elite grappling and vastly improved striking make him the most difficult puzzle to solve in the 155-pound division.
• Charles Oliveira — The "Do Bronx" threat who possesses the most dangerous submission game in the sport and the knockout power to end the fight in an instant.
• Arman Tsarukyan — The likely next challenger in attendance, whose presence adds immense pressure to the winner of this historic main event.

Prediction

Expect a high-paced opening round where Oliveira attempts to use his reach and knees to stifle the champion's entries. However, Makhachev’s disciplined defensive shell and superior clinch work are likely to dictate the location of the fight as the rounds progress. The prediction is a late-round submission or unanimous decision victory for Makhachev, as his ability to control the top position remains the deciding factor in this matchup.