Watch UFC 312: Makhachev vs Oliveira 3 — Main Card Free.

What's at Stake

The UFC Lightweight Championship is on the line in this historic trilogy bout that will likely define the legacy of the 155-pound division. Islam Makhachev looks to cement his status as one of the greatest pound-for-pound fighters in history, while Charles Oliveira seeks to reclaim his throne and prove that his submission game remains the ultimate equalizer in the Octagon.

Head-to-Head

The series currently stands in favor of the champion, with Makhachev winning their first encounter via second-round submission and a closely contested second bout further fueling the rivalry. Both fighters have maintained incredible momentum over the last few years, with Oliveira continuing to finish top-ranked contenders and Makhachev successfully defending his title against the elite of the division. Their styles provide a fascinating clash between Sambo-based pressure and aggressive Brazilian Jiu-Jitsu.

Key Players to Watch

• Islam Makhachev — The champion’s elite wrestling and vastly improved striking make him a threat in every phase of the fight.
• Charles Oliveira — The UFC’s all-time finish leader possesses the most dangerous guard in the sport and a high-risk, high-reward striking style.
• Javier Mendez — As the head coach at AKA, his tactical adjustments between rounds will be crucial in neutralizing Oliveira’s chaotic pace.

Prediction

Expect a high-level chess match where Makhachev utilizes a disciplined top-control game to stifle the challenger's creativity. While Oliveira will likely find moments of success on the feet, Makhachev’s defensive responsibility and superior wrestling should lead him to a unanimous decision victory or a late-round stoppage.